Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
Will it be confirmed that Volodymyr Zelenskyy was killed or captured by Russian military forces before April 20th Eastern Time?
What metric is most advantageous for Manifold Markets to track in order to monitor success of the platform?
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2025
Will anyone outbid Elon musk to buy twitter and get approved by twitter's board before the poison pill expires?
Will a big conflict occur in the West Bank soon?
Will Manifold Markets have over $1M in revenue by Jan 1st, 2023?
Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?
Will any new country become members of NATO in 2022?
Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?
Will Emmanuel Macron will be reelected president of France?
Will Filnland join NATO until the end of 2022?
Will 1=1 on January 1st 2023?
Will existing markets be converted to CFMM?
Will Ethereum merge to Proof-of-Stake by July?
The Ukrainian war will be done by June 2022.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2023
Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in 2022?
Conditional on Ukraine being invaded, would Russian troops enter Kyiv?
Will the US make daylight savings time permanent in 2023?
Will Russia and Ukraine still be at war on July 10?
Will Russia invade Kiev by end of 2022?
12. Will Bitcoin be above $100k at the end of 2022?
Will more than 100,000 people die of Covid-19 in China during 2022?
Will I donate $10 to GiveWell in April
Will the Moscow stock market mostly re-open by the end of May 2022?
Will Ethereum switch to Proof of Stake before 2023?
1. Will Biden’s approval rating (as per 538) be greater than 50% at the end of 2022?
Will the United States elect it's first LGBTQ+ President in 2024
Will Manifold Markets introduce real money (inc. crypto) trading before 1 Jan 2024?
Will Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas be impeached by July 31 2022
18. Will inflation be below 5% for the year of 2022?
Will SpaceX Launch a Starship into orbit this year (2022).
Will Elon Musk buy Twitter this year?
Will Hunter Biden be indicted before Nov 5, 2024?
88. Will no new real-money prediction market become bigger than Polymarket in 2022?
Will 2022 be a record year for forest fires (measured by hectares burned) in Portugal?
How many first-year undergraduate applicants will be accepted from Caltech's waitlist for the Class of 2026 (i.e. freshmen entering in Fall 2022)?
Rachel will finish paper editing her video project before next monday (April 25)
Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?
If Pete Buttigieg becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
Will Democrats maintain control of the House in the 2022 midterms?
Who will win Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Trader of the Year?
Who will receive the Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Lifetime of Service to Political Gambling?
Who will win Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Best Shit Talker?
7. Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict in 2022?
Will Manifold Markets require Proof of Humanity by the end of 2022?
Will I find my phone in my jacket's 4th pocket?
Will I get a job at Manifold Markets this month?
Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?
Suggest features.
Will I get a positive Cue result for COVID in the next month?
Which market will win Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Best Market?
What will win Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Best Day of Trading?
Which market will win Star Spangled Gamblers' 2023 Golden Modelo award for Worst Rules Cuck?
Will the sequel to Zelda: Breath of the Wild be released in 2022?
What happens when market creator left and question is never resolved?
Emmanuel Macron re-elected in 2022
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
Will Queen Elizabeth II be alive on May 1st, 2022?
Will so much as a single banned poster start a market here on whether their appeal to Scott was worth their time?
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
Will Mariupol fall by May?
Balance of Power in US Congress after 2022 Midterms
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2024
Will Ukraine join the European Union by 2024?
Will the Japanese Yen (JPY) weaken beyond its lowest 21st century level against the US dollar (USD) by June 1, 2022?
Will Democrats lose their majorities in the House and Senate in 2022?
Will Russia have won its war with Ukraine by the end of the year?
What will be the first published counterexample to Collatz conjecture
Will there be the use of nuclear weapons in 2022?
Will I declare any plant-based animal-imitating product newly "there" before the end of 2023?
Will Hunter Biden be indicted in 2022?
What will be the results of my testosterone test (percentile)?
Will Manifold Markets implement a "Most changed" sorting option for trades before July 1?
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of July, 2022
Will "World War 3" have begun by 2025?
Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1st 2022?
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
Which team will win the NBA Finals 2022?
Will Elon Musk take Twitter private by Aug 1 2022?
Will the Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade in 2022?
Will Volodymyr Zelensky remain President of Ukraine by 2023?
Will a webcomic written by an AI have more than 25,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2022?
Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected as President of France in the 2022 Presidential Election?
Will I be able to hide markets based on creator by May 1st?
Will Starship reach orbit by the end of 2022?
Will Manifold Markets allow you to bet in terms of probabilities instead of M$ amounts before 2022-05-01?
Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
Does P = NP?
Will I test positive for COVID this month?
How will market creation costs work in a month?
Will President Biden resign before the end of 2022.
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
Will Elon Musk own more than 90% of Twitter before June 1st?
Hillary Clinton signals in any way she might run for president in 2024
Will Stephen Breyer retire from the Supreme Court in 2022?
